World War 3 Risk Index

Monitoring global tensions and calculating the current risk of global conflict

Current Risk Level

moderate

Last updated: 3/1/2025, 6:02:32 PM

0
Low Risk

News & Data Impact

Recent events affecting the global risk assessment

Global Military Activity Monitor

Negative

Regular monitoring of military movements and exercises continues worldwide.

System Monitor3/1/2025

Defense Readiness Assessment

Negative

Ongoing assessment of global defense preparedness and military capabilities.

System Monitor3/1/2025

Diplomatic Relations Update

Negative

Continuous monitoring of international diplomatic developments and relations.

System Monitor3/1/2025

Global Policy Analysis

Negative

Analysis of current international policies and their implications.

System Monitor3/1/2025

Economic Stability Report

Negative

Regular assessment of global economic indicators and market stability.

System Monitor3/1/2025

Market Trends Analysis

Negative

Analysis of global market trends and economic developments.

System Monitor3/1/2025

Risk Factor Analysis

Detailed breakdown of contributing factors

Military Activity
Weight: 30%4

Number of active conflicts, military mobilizations, NATO/Russia/China/US deployments, and nuclear threats

Geopolitical Tension
Weight: 20%4

Diplomatic conflicts, trade wars, political hostilities (e.g., US-China tensions, NATO-Russia confrontations)

Economic Instability
Weight: 15%4

Stock market crashes, hyperinflation, energy crises, trade sanctions

Intelligence Warnings
Weight: 15%50

Reports from intelligence agencies on imminent threats and security assessments

Public Panic
Weight: 20%50

Social media sentiment, public demonstrations, panic buying, and other indicators of mass anxiety

Recent Events

Military Exercises in Eastern Europe

2 days ago

Large-scale military exercises involving multiple NATO countries near the eastern border.

Diplomatic Relations Suspended

5 days ago

Major powers have suspended diplomatic relations following accusations of cyber attacks.

Economic Sanctions Imposed

1 week ago

New economic sanctions targeting key industries have been imposed by multiple countries.

Naval Presence Increased

2 weeks ago

Increased naval presence reported in disputed waters of the South China Sea.

Understanding the Index

The WW3 Risk Index quantifies global geopolitical tensions, military escalations, and economic instability to provide a numerical assessment of global conflict risk.

Learn about our methodology

Historical Context

Compare today's risk levels with historical crises like the Cuban Missile Crisis, Cold War tensions, and other significant geopolitical events.

View historical data